![]() how the fire are likely to spread, which houses are likely to collapse and then act on that. Once they’ve selected their option, they would mentally imagine the next step e.g. ![]() Findings demonstrated that 80-90% of the firefighters used the same RPD strategy to decide: They would only generate one option based on cues in the environment. Initially Klein hypothesized that firefighters narrow their options to two and then choose the best option of these. The findings and further work on decision-making resulted in the Recognition Primed Decision-making model (RPD), naturalistic decision-making and recently the shadowbox concept. This led to some fieldwork observing the firefighters and conducting post-incident interviews to explore whether and how firefighters make decisions. Furthermore during interviews many firefighters were unable to explain how they reached their conclusions and some experienced firefighters stated that they’ve never made any decisions. One of his first discoveries was that the laboratory models of decision-making were not sufficient for the conditions that firefighters work in. ![]() In the late 70’s Gary Klein explored the above question. It’s been said that every fire is different, so have you ever wondered how firefighters decide on the best course of action with so many variables and very little time to exhaust all the possible options and outcomes? For the past week, Cape Town firefighters have relentlessly been battling fires across the city and it appears that every hour on the news there is another fire to manage. ![]()
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